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Correlation, Causation and Catastrophists

Michael Kile

Jun 15 2024

10 mins

It was World Environment Day on June 5 and UN Secretary-General António Guterres marked the occasion with a speech at the American Museum of Natural History. The “moment of truth” for climate action, he said, is now:

We are playing Russian roulette with our planet. We need an exit ramp off the highway to climate hell.  And the good news is that we have control of the wheel.  The battle to limit temperature rise to 1.5 degrees will be won or lost in the 2020s – under the watch of leaders today.

We have what we need to save ourselves. Our forests, our wetlands, and our oceans absorb carbon from the atmosphere. They are vital to keeping 1.5C alive, or pulling us back if we do overshoot that limit. We must protect them. 

It was déjà vu all over again. Guterres gave the same warning in November 2022 at the Conference of the Parties (COP27) in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh: nations must cooperate or face “collective suicide” from climate change:

Humanity has a…

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