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ETS Forum – Economic stupicide

David Evans

Aug 08 2009

5 mins


Don’t commit economic stupicide over a bad assumption


We independent scientists can tell you exactly which part of the IPCC climate calculation is wrong, and show you three different sets of empirical evidence that prove it so. Air and ocean temperatures have been dropping for the last few years, contradicting the climate model predictions made in 2001 of soaring temperatures. Yet the world won’t listen to us, and seems determined to commit economic stupicide. How did it come to this?

Alarmist climate theory was complete by 1984. The first stage is to compute forcings due to extra carbon dioxide  and other factors—these calculations are sound, except that they omit important natural factors (more below). The second stage is to calculate the temperature rise directly due to those forcings—basic physics, and everyone agrees that if carbon dioxide levels doubled then the consequent temperature rise will be  about 1.1°C. The third stage is to apply the various “feedbacks”. Most of…

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