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Three More Months and We Should Know
Warning to the vaccinated of nervous disposition: Best to read no more and avoid learning about the latest UK death stats.
The UK Health Security Agency has replaced in name Public Health England in issuing ‘COVID-19 vaccine surveillance reports. The latest is for week 44, issued this month. Among other things, these reports list cases, hospitalisations and deaths by vaccination status. Interesting, I think, as an insight into the results likely here when the maturity of our vaccination rollout is about equal to the UK’s. I roughly calculate this to be in three months’ time, plus or minus.
I will look collectively at the age groups 80 and over, 70-79, 60-69 and 50-59 in the latest report. These are the age groups which, together, contain the overwhelming number of deaths.
Over weeks 40 to 43 (roughly October) 6,147 people of the age range 50 to 80+ were admitted to hospital. Of these, 4,805 (78%) were fully vaccinated at least two weeks prior to testing positive. Of the…
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