A simple calculation
A doubling of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is always claimed to be where we are heading. Catastrophic climate change is said to follow.
But are we capable of generating so much CO2 that we will take the present atmospheric concentration from 380 ppm to 760 ppm?
Approaching this challenge in the spirit of the Club of Rome, the best sources of wisdom are the BP Statistical Review and the Energy Information Administration of the United States Department of Energy that give proven oil, gas and coal reserves. These are in their own words “generally taken to be those quantities that geological and engineering information indicates with reasonable certainty can be recovered in the future from known deposits under existing economic and operating conditions”.
So the answer is:
If we assert following the IPCC that about half of the CO2 that results from burning the fossil fuels is captured by the oceans and the continents then we are left with 324 gigatonnes of carbon contained in the…
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